Town & Gown Affiliates October Luncheon
Wed 10/16/2024 • 11:30AM PDT
James West Alumni Center
The 2024 Presidential Election: Winning the Map? Or Changing It?
Modern American presidential elections can be broken into two types: those that tweak the edges of the electoral college map, turning over enough states to secure a victory – George W. Bush in 2000, Donald Trump in 2016, Joe Biden in 2020 – and those that fundamentally alter that map – Ike in 1952, Ronald Reagan in 1980, Obama in 2008.
As the 2024 election nears, Kamala Harris and Trump turn to the map again. Trump knows that he cannot win the kind of popular majority that propelled Eisenhower and Reagan to enveloping victories; indeed, Trump almost certainly will lose the popular vote. Instead, he envisions a small-map win secured by the shift of a few states from his loss to Biden in 2020. That’s why seven battleground states hold so much influence and attention.
For Harris, however, the potential is different: She could win by holding all or most of the Biden map. But she also could win a broader, more fundamental victory, one that could see seismic shifts in the American electorate.
Which will it be?
Jim Newton, a political reporter and editor for more than 30 years, will look at the strategic implications of the coming face-off between Vice President Harris and former President Trump as the two enter the final month of a strange and profoundly significant American election. He is also a lecturer in Communication Studies at UCLA and the founder and editor of UCLA Blueprint magazine.
Please RSVP by Wednesday, Oct. 9.